Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that reduce nocturnal radiative cooling in the humid subtropical climate. High humidity and light winds typical of the late-summer monsoon pattern further stabilize overnight lows near the seasonal average of 22–24°C, with limited diurnal variation expected. The near-even split between the two leading market outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could tip the balance either way ahead of official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日成都最低气温？
8月22日成都最低气温？
24°C 43%
23°C 39%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
39%
24°C
43%
25°C
11%
26°C
7%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 43%
23°C 39%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-22
18°C or below
$30 交易量
1%
19°C
$28 交易量
1%
20°C
$46 交易量
2%
21°C
$51 交易量
3%
22°C
$20 交易量
9%
23°C
$6 交易量
39%
24°C
$5 交易量
43%
25°C
$5 交易量
11%
26°C
$5 交易量
7%
27°C
$5 交易量
6%
28°C or higher
$16 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that reduce nocturnal radiative cooling in the humid subtropical climate. High humidity and light winds typical of the late-summer monsoon pattern further stabilize overnight lows near the seasonal average of 22–24°C, with limited diurnal variation expected. The near-even split between the two leading market outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could tip the balance either way ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
交易量
$217结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that reduce nocturnal radiative cooling in the humid subtropical climate. High humidity and light winds typical of the late-summer monsoon pattern further stabilize overnight lows near the seasonal average of 22–24°C, with limited diurnal variation expected. The near-even split between the two leading market outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could tip the balance either way ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$217结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETRecent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a minimum temperature of 23–24°C in Chengdu on August 22, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that reduce nocturnal radiative cooling in the humid subtropical climate. High humidity and light winds typical of the late-summer monsoon pattern further stabilize overnight lows near the seasonal average of 22–24°C, with limited diurnal variation expected. The near-even split between the two leading market outcomes reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, where small shifts in precipitation timing or cloud thickness could tip the balance either way ahead of official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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