Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 23 minimum temperature centers on official Central Weather Administration forecasts of mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers and a projected low near 26°C, aligning with the 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical summer humidity levels, while variable monsoon moisture and any distant tropical system influences could push the low to 25°C or 27°C. Clearer breaks would favor the lower-probability 24°C scenario through enhanced cooling, whereas widespread thunderstorms raise odds of 28°C or higher by trapping heat. The spread across outcomes reflects model uncertainty in short-term precipitation timing and intensity, with new CWA updates expected to refine steering patterns and local boundary conditions ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日台北气温最低？
8月23日台北气温最低？
26°C 37%
27°C 23%
25°C 19%
28°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
11%
25°C
19%
26°C
34%
27°C
23%
28°C
19%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 23%
25°C 19%
28°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
21°C or below
$120 交易量
1%
22°C
$42 交易量
1%
23°C
$20 交易量
8%
24°C
$0 交易量
11%
25°C
$0 交易量
19%
26°C
$5 交易量
34%
27°C
$0 交易量
23%
28°C
$0 交易量
19%
29°C
$35 交易量
3%
30°C
$151 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$32 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 23 minimum temperature centers on official Central Weather Administration forecasts of mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers and a projected low near 26°C, aligning with the 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical summer humidity levels, while variable monsoon moisture and any distant tropical system influences could push the low to 25°C or 27°C. Clearer breaks would favor the lower-probability 24°C scenario through enhanced cooling, whereas widespread thunderstorms raise odds of 28°C or higher by trapping heat. The spread across outcomes reflects model uncertainty in short-term precipitation timing and intensity, with new CWA updates expected to refine steering patterns and local boundary conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$405结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 23 minimum temperature centers on official Central Weather Administration forecasts of mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers and a projected low near 26°C, aligning with the 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical summer humidity levels, while variable monsoon moisture and any distant tropical system influences could push the low to 25°C or 27°C. Clearer breaks would favor the lower-probability 24°C scenario through enhanced cooling, whereas widespread thunderstorms raise odds of 28°C or higher by trapping heat. The spread across outcomes reflects model uncertainty in short-term precipitation timing and intensity, with new CWA updates expected to refine steering patterns and local boundary conditions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$405结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader sentiment for Taipei's August 23 minimum temperature centers on official Central Weather Administration forecasts of mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers and a projected low near 26°C, aligning with the 34% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall limit nighttime radiative cooling under typical summer humidity levels, while variable monsoon moisture and any distant tropical system influences could push the low to 25°C or 27°C. Clearer breaks would favor the lower-probability 24°C scenario through enhanced cooling, whereas widespread thunderstorms raise odds of 28°C or higher by trapping heat. The spread across outcomes reflects model uncertainty in short-term precipitation timing and intensity, with new CWA updates expected to refine steering patterns and local boundary conditions ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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