Global seismic monitoring by the USGS and similar agencies recorded exactly seven earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater during the August 24–30 window, aligning with the market-implied consensus at 100% probability for that outcome. This count reflects typical weekly variability in tectonic activity along major plate boundaries, with events distributed across regions such as the Banda Sea, South Pacific, and Indonesia's Flores area. Historical baselines show 5–10 such quakes per week on average, though short-term clusters can shift totals. Final catalog revisions or late detections of borderline events near the 5.5 threshold represent the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though current verified data leave little room for deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日至8月30日，世界各地发生了多少次5.5级或以上的地震？
8月24日至8月30日，世界各地发生了多少次5.5级或以上的地震？
7 100.0%
不超过6次 <1%
8 <1%
9 <1%
$39,131 交易量
$39,131 交易量
2026-08-30
不超过6次
否
7
是
8
否
9
否
10
否
11
否
12
否
13
否
超过13次
否
7 100.0%
不超过6次 <1%
8 <1%
9 <1%
$39,131 交易量
$39,131 交易量
2026-08-30
不超过6次
$15,663 交易量
否
7
$4,297 交易量
是
8
$3,819 交易量
否
9
$3,547 交易量
否
10
$2,942 交易量
否
11
$1,910 交易量
否
12
$2,022 交易量
否
13
$1,753 交易量
否
超过13次
$3,179 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS and similar agencies recorded exactly seven earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater during the August 24–30 window, aligning with the market-implied consensus at 100% probability for that outcome. This count reflects typical weekly variability in tectonic activity along major plate boundaries, with events distributed across regions such as the Banda Sea, South Pacific, and Indonesia's Flores area. Historical baselines show 5–10 such quakes per week on average, though short-term clusters can shift totals. Final catalog revisions or late detections of borderline events near the 5.5 threshold represent the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though current verified data leave little room for deviation.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$39,131结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 10:48 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic monitoring by the USGS and similar agencies recorded exactly seven earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater during the August 24–30 window, aligning with the market-implied consensus at 100% probability for that outcome. This count reflects typical weekly variability in tectonic activity along major plate boundaries, with events distributed across regions such as the Banda Sea, South Pacific, and Indonesia's Flores area. Historical baselines show 5–10 such quakes per week on average, though short-term clusters can shift totals. Final catalog revisions or late detections of borderline events near the 5.5 threshold represent the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though current verified data leave little room for deviation.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$39,131结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 10:48 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Global seismic monitoring by the USGS and similar agencies recorded exactly seven earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater during the August 24–30 window, aligning with the market-implied consensus at 100% probability for that outcome. This count reflects typical weekly variability in tectonic activity along major plate boundaries, with events distributed across regions such as the Banda Sea, South Pacific, and Indonesia's Flores area. Historical baselines show 5–10 such quakes per week on average, though short-term clusters can shift totals. Final catalog revisions or late detections of borderline events near the 5.5 threshold represent the only realistic paths to a different resolution, though current verified data leave little room for deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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