National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high of 91–96°F for Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow, morning marine layer stratus, and limited high-pressure ridging that keeps coastal maxima near seasonal norms around 80–90°F. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations showing daily highs mostly in the low-to-mid 80s, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.1% implied probability for 91°F or below. Historical records confirm August 23 extremes rarely exceed 94°F absent strong offshore winds or subtropical moisture surges, neither of which current guidance supports. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings; any late-model shift toward stronger high pressure could modestly elevate odds for the upper 90s, though such changes remain low-probability before tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日洛杉矶气温最高？
8月23日洛杉矶气温最高？
91°F或以下 96.2%
98-99°F 2%
110°F或更高 2%
100-101°F <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
91°F或以下
96%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F或更高
2%
91°F或以下 96.2%
98-99°F 2%
110°F或更高 2%
100-101°F <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
91°F或以下
$151 交易量
96%
92-93°F
$41 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$50 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$50 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$41 交易量
2%
100-101°F
$154 交易量
1%
102-103°F
$26 交易量
1%
104-105°F
$31 交易量
1%
106-107°F
$33 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$51 交易量
1%
110°F或更高
$42 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high of 91–96°F for Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow, morning marine layer stratus, and limited high-pressure ridging that keeps coastal maxima near seasonal norms around 80–90°F. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations showing daily highs mostly in the low-to-mid 80s, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.1% implied probability for 91°F or below. Historical records confirm August 23 extremes rarely exceed 94°F absent strong offshore winds or subtropical moisture surges, neither of which current guidance supports. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings; any late-model shift toward stronger high pressure could modestly elevate odds for the upper 90s, though such changes remain low-probability before tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$670结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high of 91–96°F for Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow, morning marine layer stratus, and limited high-pressure ridging that keeps coastal maxima near seasonal norms around 80–90°F. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations showing daily highs mostly in the low-to-mid 80s, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.1% implied probability for 91°F or below. Historical records confirm August 23 extremes rarely exceed 94°F absent strong offshore winds or subtropical moisture surges, neither of which current guidance supports. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings; any late-model shift toward stronger high pressure could modestly elevate odds for the upper 90s, though such changes remain low-probability before tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$670结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high of 91–96°F for Los Angeles on August 23, driven by persistent onshore southwest flow, morning marine layer stratus, and limited high-pressure ridging that keeps coastal maxima near seasonal norms around 80–90°F. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations showing daily highs mostly in the low-to-mid 80s, underpins the market’s overwhelming 97.1% implied probability for 91°F or below. Historical records confirm August 23 extremes rarely exceed 94°F absent strong offshore winds or subtropical moisture surges, neither of which current guidance supports. Resolution hinges on official Los Angeles International Airport readings; any late-model shift toward stronger high pressure could modestly elevate odds for the upper 90s, though such changes remain low-probability before tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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