Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a shift to southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, with increased cloud cover and light showers possible on August 24 that limit daytime heating and slow nighttime radiative cooling. This has produced forecast minimums clustered near 17–20 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 18 °C or below and much warmer outcomes. Stronger surface winds (15–25 km/h) and variable low-level moisture further widen the range of possible overnight lows, while earlier August heat has left soil moisture low enough that clear-sky scenarios could still support higher minima. Updated guidance tonight will narrow the spread ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日马德里最低气温？
8月24日马德里最低气温？
28°C或更高 86%
18°C or below 45%
19°C 20%
20°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C or below
45%
19°C
20%
20°C
13%
21°C
11%
22°C
9%
23°C
12%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
12%
28°C或更高
86%
28°C或更高 86%
18°C or below 45%
19°C 20%
20°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
18°C or below
$0 交易量
45%
19°C
$0 交易量
20%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C
$0 交易量
11%
22°C
$23 交易量
9%
23°C
$25 交易量
12%
24°C
$5 交易量
12%
25°C
$5 交易量
2%
26°C
$5 交易量
12%
27°C
$5 交易量
12%
28°C或更高
$5 交易量
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a shift to southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, with increased cloud cover and light showers possible on August 24 that limit daytime heating and slow nighttime radiative cooling. This has produced forecast minimums clustered near 17–20 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 18 °C or below and much warmer outcomes. Stronger surface winds (15–25 km/h) and variable low-level moisture further widen the range of possible overnight lows, while earlier August heat has left soil moisture low enough that clear-sky scenarios could still support higher minima. Updated guidance tonight will narrow the spread ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
交易量
$73结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a shift to southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, with increased cloud cover and light showers possible on August 24 that limit daytime heating and slow nighttime radiative cooling. This has produced forecast minimums clustered near 17–20 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 18 °C or below and much warmer outcomes. Stronger surface winds (15–25 km/h) and variable low-level moisture further widen the range of possible overnight lows, while earlier August heat has left soil moisture low enough that clear-sky scenarios could still support higher minima. Updated guidance tonight will narrow the spread ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$73结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETRecent model runs from GFS and ECMWF show a shift to southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, with increased cloud cover and light showers possible on August 24 that limit daytime heating and slow nighttime radiative cooling. This has produced forecast minimums clustered near 17–20 °C, aligning with the near-even market split between 18 °C or below and much warmer outcomes. Stronger surface winds (15–25 km/h) and variable low-level moisture further widen the range of possible overnight lows, while earlier August heat has left soil moisture low enough that clear-sky scenarios could still support higher minima. Updated guidance tonight will narrow the spread ahead of the 24-hour resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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