Recent model runs from GFS and other global ensembles indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by a cooler northwesterly air mass, increasing westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and partial cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-August highs near 25°C, with the Hydrometeorological Center already recording a +9°C low on August 22. Historical averages place the August 24 low near 11.8°C, but current steering patterns and modest shower chances introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables and potential last-minute model shifts ahead of official Rosgidromet updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日莫斯科最低气温？
8月24日莫斯科最低气温？
9°C或以下 98%
19°C或更高 55%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
98%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C或更高
55%
9°C或以下 98%
19°C或更高 55%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C或以下
$5 交易量
98%
10°C
$0 交易量
19%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
19%
13°C
$0 交易量
19%
14°C
$0 交易量
19%
15°C
$4 交易量
19%
16°C
$5 交易量
37%
17°C
$5 交易量
37%
18°C
$5 交易量
37%
19°C或更高
$5 交易量
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and other global ensembles indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by a cooler northwesterly air mass, increasing westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and partial cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-August highs near 25°C, with the Hydrometeorological Center already recording a +9°C low on August 22. Historical averages place the August 24 low near 11.8°C, but current steering patterns and modest shower chances introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables and potential last-minute model shifts ahead of official Rosgidromet updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
交易量
$29结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from GFS and other global ensembles indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by a cooler northwesterly air mass, increasing westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and partial cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-August highs near 25°C, with the Hydrometeorological Center already recording a +9°C low on August 22. Historical averages place the August 24 low near 11.8°C, but current steering patterns and modest shower chances introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables and potential last-minute model shifts ahead of official Rosgidromet updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from GFS and other global ensembles indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall in the 12–14°C range, driven by a cooler northwesterly air mass, increasing westerly winds of 10–15 mph, and partial cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-August highs near 25°C, with the Hydrometeorological Center already recording a +9°C low on August 22. Historical averages place the August 24 low near 11.8°C, but current steering patterns and modest shower chances introduce modest uncertainty around the exact minimum. Market-implied odds reflect trader assessment of these variables and potential last-minute model shifts ahead of official Rosgidromet updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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