Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a high near 21–22 °C on August 24 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate westerly flow, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Mild Atlantic air masses and the absence of strong warm advection or blocking highs keep temperatures aligned with late-August climatology, where daily maxima average 21–22 °C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow gap separating 20 °C from 23 °C possibilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs, plus KNMI observations on the day, will resolve the exact peak before market settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月24日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
22°C 45%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
17°C或以下
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
13%
21°C
38%
22°C
45%
23°C
9%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C或更高
2%
22°C 45%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
17°C或以下
$15 交易量
1%
18°C
$15 交易量
1%
19°C
$5 交易量
3%
20°C
$126 交易量
13%
21°C
$99 交易量
38%
22°C
$158 交易量
45%
23°C
$10 交易量
9%
24°C
$13 交易量
4%
25°C
$20 交易量
2%
26°C
$5 交易量
4%
27°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a high near 21–22 °C on August 24 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate westerly flow, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Mild Atlantic air masses and the absence of strong warm advection or blocking highs keep temperatures aligned with late-August climatology, where daily maxima average 21–22 °C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow gap separating 20 °C from 23 °C possibilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs, plus KNMI observations on the day, will resolve the exact peak before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
交易量
$471结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a high near 21–22 °C on August 24 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate westerly flow, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Mild Atlantic air masses and the absence of strong warm advection or blocking highs keep temperatures aligned with late-August climatology, where daily maxima average 21–22 °C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow gap separating 20 °C from 23 °C possibilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs, plus KNMI observations on the day, will resolve the exact peak before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$471结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from European models indicate a high near 21–22 °C on August 24 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate westerly flow, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Mild Atlantic air masses and the absence of strong warm advection or blocking highs keep temperatures aligned with late-August climatology, where daily maxima average 21–22 °C. Minor model spread around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the narrow gap separating 20 °C from 23 °C possibilities. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs, plus KNMI observations on the day, will resolve the exact peak before market settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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