Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日莫斯科最高气温?
25°C或更高 39%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
15°C或以下
5%
16°C
13%
17°C
10%
18°C
20%
19°C
23%
20°C
30%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C或更高
39%
25°C或更高 39%
20°C 33%
19°C 23%
18°C 20%
15°C或以下
5%
16°C
13%
17°C
10%
18°C
20%
19°C
23%
20°C
30%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C或更高
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models cluster Moscow's August 24 maximum near 19–20 °C, driving the tightest market-implied odds on those brackets. Cooler maritime air advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with increasing cloud cover and light showers, is expected to suppress daytime heating several degrees below the late-August climatological mean of roughly 23 °C. Model spread remains modest but centers on this range, with limited upside potential unless clearer skies develop earlier than currently projected. Traders are weighting the latest 00–12 UTC runs most heavily, as resolution hinges on official observations at the defined station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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