Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Beijing's August 25 high near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with an 60–80 % chance of thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Afternoon convection tied to the East Asian monsoon often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while any earlier clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Current conditions show the region slightly above the 1991–2020 August 25 average of 29.7 °C, yet widespread rain in the latest model runs has tempered expectations for extremes above 34 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日北京气温最高？
8月25日北京气温最高？
32°C 30%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
12%
31°C
24%
32°C
30%
33°C
22%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 24%
33°C 22%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
26°C or below
$92 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
<1%
28°C
$116 交易量
2%
29°C
$22 交易量
6%
30°C
$23 交易量
12%
31°C
$30 交易量
24%
32°C
$37 交易量
30%
33°C
$66 交易量
22%
34°C
$114 交易量
8%
35°C
$10 交易量
4%
36°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Beijing's August 25 high near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with an 60–80 % chance of thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Afternoon convection tied to the East Asian monsoon often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while any earlier clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Current conditions show the region slightly above the 1991–2020 August 25 average of 29.7 °C, yet widespread rain in the latest model runs has tempered expectations for extremes above 34 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$511结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Beijing's August 25 high near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with an 60–80 % chance of thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Afternoon convection tied to the East Asian monsoon often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while any earlier clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Current conditions show the region slightly above the 1991–2020 August 25 average of 29.7 °C, yet widespread rain in the latest model runs has tempered expectations for extremes above 34 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$511结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global models place Beijing's August 25 high near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with an 60–80 % chance of thunderstorms, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Afternoon convection tied to the East Asian monsoon often caps daytime peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while any earlier clearing could allow brief spikes toward 33 °C. Current conditions show the region slightly above the 1991–2020 August 25 average of 29.7 °C, yet widespread rain in the latest model runs has tempered expectations for extremes above 34 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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