Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Jeddah’s August 25 maximum near 37–38 °C, reflecting a persistent subtropical high and typical late-summer Red Sea heat and humidity. Numerical weather prediction runs show modest spread, with some solutions favoring slight warming toward 39 °C under clearer skies while others keep readings capped by increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze. Historical August averages hover around 36–38 °C, providing limited guidance this close to the date. Traders are therefore weighting the latest high-resolution model updates and local observational trends, which remain the key variables that can still shift implied probabilities among the tightly clustered 37–39 °C outcomes before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日吉达的最高温度?
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 19%
40°C或更高 17%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C
13%
37°C
19%
38°C
33%
39°C
28%
40°C或更高
17%
38°C 33%
39°C 28%
37°C 19%
40°C或更高 17%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C
13%
37°C
19%
38°C
33%
39°C
28%
40°C或更高
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Jeddah’s August 25 maximum near 37–38 °C, reflecting a persistent subtropical high and typical late-summer Red Sea heat and humidity. Numerical weather prediction runs show modest spread, with some solutions favoring slight warming toward 39 °C under clearer skies while others keep readings capped by increased cloud cover or a weak sea breeze. Historical August averages hover around 36–38 °C, providing limited guidance this close to the date. Traders are therefore weighting the latest high-resolution model updates and local observational trends, which remain the key variables that can still shift implied probabilities among the tightly clustered 37–39 °C outcomes before final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题