Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show maximum temperatures on August 25 likely ranging 35–38 °C, driven by persistent late-summer heat under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–39 °C, but increased moisture and afternoon convective activity—expected to bring scattered showers or thunderstorms—could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting the daily high. This narrow band of outcomes, with 36 °C and 37 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity rather than broad warming or cooling trends. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日重庆气温最高？
8月25日重庆气温最高？
36°C 27%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
38°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
8%
35°C
17%
36°C
27%
37°C
27%
38°C
13%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
3%
36°C 27%
37°C 27%
35°C 17%
38°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
30°C or below
$36 交易量
1%
31°C
$448 交易量
1%
32°C
$140 交易量
2%
33°C
$51 交易量
6%
34°C
$68 交易量
8%
35°C
$56 交易量
17%
36°C
$33 交易量
27%
37°C
$197 交易量
27%
38°C
$106 交易量
13%
39°C
$1,904 交易量
4%
40°C or higher
$31 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show maximum temperatures on August 25 likely ranging 35–38 °C, driven by persistent late-summer heat under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–39 °C, but increased moisture and afternoon convective activity—expected to bring scattered showers or thunderstorms—could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting the daily high. This narrow band of outcomes, with 36 °C and 37 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity rather than broad warming or cooling trends. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,070结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show maximum temperatures on August 25 likely ranging 35–38 °C, driven by persistent late-summer heat under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–39 °C, but increased moisture and afternoon convective activity—expected to bring scattered showers or thunderstorms—could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting the daily high. This narrow band of outcomes, with 36 °C and 37 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity rather than broad warming or cooling trends. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,070结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and international models (including GFS and ECMWF runs) show maximum temperatures on August 25 likely ranging 35–38 °C, driven by persistent late-summer heat under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–39 °C, but increased moisture and afternoon convective activity—expected to bring scattered showers or thunderstorms—could enhance cloud cover and evaporative cooling, limiting the daily high. This narrow band of outcomes, with 36 °C and 37 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, reflects model spread on rainfall timing and intensity rather than broad warming or cooling trends. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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