Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and European ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely between 22–25°C, driven by moderate westerly flow and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration on 23–25°C outcomes (combined ~83.5% implied probability) following early-August heat that pushed local maxima above 30°C before a cooling trend set in mid-month. Key variables include the strength of any Atlantic ridge and exact timing of cloud cover, with official forecasts currently clustering near 23°C. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF ahead of the date will be the main catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月25日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
24°C 40%
25°C 22%
23°C 22%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
7%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
2%
24°C 40%
25°C 22%
23°C 22%
22°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
20°C或以下
$30 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
5%
22°C
$116 交易量
7%
23°C
$36 交易量
22%
24°C
$0 交易量
40%
25°C
$12 交易量
22%
26°C
$158 交易量
7%
27°C
$20 交易量
7%
28°C
$20 交易量
4%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and European ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely between 22–25°C, driven by moderate westerly flow and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration on 23–25°C outcomes (combined ~83.5% implied probability) following early-August heat that pushed local maxima above 30°C before a cooling trend set in mid-month. Key variables include the strength of any Atlantic ridge and exact timing of cloud cover, with official forecasts currently clustering near 23°C. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF ahead of the date will be the main catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$402结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and European ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely between 22–25°C, driven by moderate westerly flow and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration on 23–25°C outcomes (combined ~83.5% implied probability) following early-August heat that pushed local maxima above 30°C before a cooling trend set in mid-month. Key variables include the strength of any Atlantic ridge and exact timing of cloud cover, with official forecasts currently clustering near 23°C. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF ahead of the date will be the main catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$402结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC, and European ensembles indicates a highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25 most likely between 22–25°C, driven by moderate westerly flow and possible light showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration on 23–25°C outcomes (combined ~83.5% implied probability) following early-August heat that pushed local maxima above 30°C before a cooling trend set in mid-month. Key variables include the strength of any Atlantic ridge and exact timing of cloud cover, with official forecasts currently clustering near 23°C. Updated runs from KNMI and ECMWF ahead of the date will be the main catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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