**Recent atmospheric patterns over the Western Cape, including the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and residual effects from mid-August cold fronts, are positioning daily maximum temperatures near 20–22°C for Cape Town on August 25.** These conditions moderate the typical winter baseline of around 17°C by limiting strong southerly flows while allowing some northerly or north-westerly advection of milder air. South African Weather Service and private model guidance show limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 18–23°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 21°C and 22°C. Variability stems from exact frontal timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance daytime heating; updated short-range model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of the market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日开普敦气温最高？
8月25日开普敦气温最高？
21°C 42%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
18%
21°C
42%
22°C
26%
23°C
11%
24°C
6%
25°C或更高
3%
21°C 42%
22°C 26%
20°C 18%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C或以下
$85 交易量
<1%
16°C
$77 交易量
1%
17°C
$82 交易量
3%
18°C
$216 交易量
3%
19°C
$19 交易量
8%
20°C
$72 交易量
18%
21°C
$34 交易量
42%
22°C
$57 交易量
26%
23°C
$156 交易量
11%
24°C
$17 交易量
6%
25°C或更高
$72 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent atmospheric patterns over the Western Cape, including the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and residual effects from mid-August cold fronts, are positioning daily maximum temperatures near 20–22°C for Cape Town on August 25.** These conditions moderate the typical winter baseline of around 17°C by limiting strong southerly flows while allowing some northerly or north-westerly advection of milder air. South African Weather Service and private model guidance show limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 18–23°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 21°C and 22°C. Variability stems from exact frontal timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance daytime heating; updated short-range model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$886结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent atmospheric patterns over the Western Cape, including the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and residual effects from mid-August cold fronts, are positioning daily maximum temperatures near 20–22°C for Cape Town on August 25.** These conditions moderate the typical winter baseline of around 17°C by limiting strong southerly flows while allowing some northerly or north-westerly advection of milder air. South African Weather Service and private model guidance show limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 18–23°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 21°C and 22°C. Variability stems from exact frontal timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance daytime heating; updated short-range model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$886结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Recent atmospheric patterns over the Western Cape, including the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and residual effects from mid-August cold fronts, are positioning daily maximum temperatures near 20–22°C for Cape Town on August 25.** These conditions moderate the typical winter baseline of around 17°C by limiting strong southerly flows while allowing some northerly or north-westerly advection of milder air. South African Weather Service and private model guidance show limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 18–23°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with trader-implied probabilities favoring 21°C and 22°C. Variability stems from exact frontal timing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance daytime heating; updated short-range model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these odds ahead of the market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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