**Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, reflecting model agreement on partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit peak heating.** Late-August conditions in Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically feature average highs near 31–32°C, high humidity (often 70–85%), and frequent convective activity. Current forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center, AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and timeanddate consistently indicate a high of 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F) under light rain or thundershower influence, with southeast winds and cloud cover suppressing stronger insolation. Recent passage of Tropical Storm Dolphin earlier in the month left elevated moisture that favors afternoon convection, further capping temperatures compared with clear-sky scenarios. Historical analogs for late August show similar patterns where rain chances trim the daily maximum by 1–3°C relative to dry periods. With resolution imminent, updates from official monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the final observational data used for market settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日上海气温最高？
8月23日上海气温最高？
31°C 52%
32°C 35%
30°C 8%
33°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
52%
32°C
35%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 35%
30°C 8%
33°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
26°C or below
$274 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,419 交易量
1%
28°C
$498 交易量
1%
29°C
$470 交易量
3%
30°C
$1,056 交易量
8%
31°C
$1,130 交易量
52%
32°C
$1,325 交易量
35%
33°C
$556 交易量
4%
34°C
$450 交易量
2%
35°C
$423 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$302 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, reflecting model agreement on partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit peak heating.**
Late-August conditions in Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically feature average highs near 31–32°C, high humidity (often 70–85%), and frequent convective activity. Current forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center, AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and timeanddate consistently indicate a high of 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F) under light rain or thundershower influence, with southeast winds and cloud cover suppressing stronger insolation. Recent passage of Tropical Storm Dolphin earlier in the month left elevated moisture that favors afternoon convection, further capping temperatures compared with clear-sky scenarios. Historical analogs for late August show similar patterns where rain chances trim the daily maximum by 1–3°C relative to dry periods. With resolution imminent, updates from official monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the final observational data used for market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,904结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, reflecting model agreement on partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit peak heating.**
Late-August conditions in Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically feature average highs near 31–32°C, high humidity (often 70–85%), and frequent convective activity. Current forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center, AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and timeanddate consistently indicate a high of 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F) under light rain or thundershower influence, with southeast winds and cloud cover suppressing stronger insolation. Recent passage of Tropical Storm Dolphin earlier in the month left elevated moisture that favors afternoon convection, further capping temperatures compared with clear-sky scenarios. Historical analogs for late August show similar patterns where rain chances trim the daily maximum by 1–3°C relative to dry periods. With resolution imminent, updates from official monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the final observational data used for market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,904结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on 31–32°C as the most probable range for Shanghai’s maximum temperature on August 23, 2026, reflecting model agreement on partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit peak heating.** Late-August conditions in Shanghai’s subtropical monsoon climate typically feature average highs near 31–32°C, high humidity (often 70–85%), and frequent convective activity. Current forecasts from sources including the National Meteorological Center, AccuWeather, BBC Weather, and timeanddate consistently indicate a high of 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F) under light rain or thundershower influence, with southeast winds and cloud cover suppressing stronger insolation. Recent passage of Tropical Storm Dolphin earlier in the month left elevated moisture that favors afternoon convection, further capping temperatures compared with clear-sky scenarios. Historical analogs for late August show similar patterns where rain chances trim the daily maximum by 1–3°C relative to dry periods. With resolution imminent, updates from official monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will provide the final observational data used for market settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题