Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus points to a highest temperature of 23–24°C in London on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on these outcomes. Persistent high pressure over northwest Europe has sustained above-average warmth through mid-August, but a weakening ridge and increasing Atlantic influence are expected to moderate peak values by the weekend. Official guidance shows daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, limiting further intensification. Short-range updates over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and any residual warm advection, while historical August climatology supports only modest deviation from these levels absent a strong blocking pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日伦敦气温最高?
24°C 43%
23°C 34%
25°C 14%
22°C 8%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
34%
24°C
43%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 43%
23°C 34%
25°C 14%
22°C 8%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
34%
24°C
43%
25°C
14%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus points to a highest temperature of 23–24°C in London on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on these outcomes. Persistent high pressure over northwest Europe has sustained above-average warmth through mid-August, but a weakening ridge and increasing Atlantic influence are expected to moderate peak values by the weekend. Official guidance shows daytime maxima near seasonal norms of 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, limiting further intensification. Short-range updates over the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer mixing and any residual warm advection, while historical August climatology supports only modest deviation from these levels absent a strong blocking pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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