Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional agencies indicate Beijing's August 24 overnight low will likely range 21–24°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, variable thunderstorm activity, and moderating high pressure. Cloud cover and rainfall can suppress radiative cooling, keeping minima near 23°C, while clearer intervals or stronger northeasterly flow allow drops toward 19°C or below. Historical August baselines show average lows near 20–22°C, with urban heat retention in Beijing adding slight warmth. The near-even market split between 23°C and sub-20°C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window, with fresh guidance expected to narrow uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日北京最低气温?
19°C or below 84%
29°C或更高 48%
21°C 46%
23°C 43%
19°C or below
84%
20°C
29%
21°C
46%
22°C
24%
23°C
43%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C或更高
48%
19°C or below 84%
29°C或更高 48%
21°C 46%
23°C 43%
19°C or below
84%
20°C
29%
21°C
46%
22°C
24%
23°C
43%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C或更高
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional agencies indicate Beijing's August 24 overnight low will likely range 21–24°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, variable thunderstorm activity, and moderating high pressure. Cloud cover and rainfall can suppress radiative cooling, keeping minima near 23°C, while clearer intervals or stronger northeasterly flow allow drops toward 19°C or below. Historical August baselines show average lows near 20–22°C, with urban heat retention in Beijing adding slight warmth. The near-even market split between 23°C and sub-20°C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window, with fresh guidance expected to narrow uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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