**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes for Shenzhen on August 27, 2026.** Subtropical summer conditions, characterized by high humidity and a weak steering pattern, support this range, with climatological August highs averaging 30–32°C. Recent model runs indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating and cap extremes, reducing odds of 33°C or higher. Proximity to resolution—only two days out—means updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will drive any late shifts, particularly if convective activity intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of uncertainty around the seasonal baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日深圳气温最高？
8月27日深圳气温最高？
31°C 36%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
20%
31°C
36%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
25°C or below
$317 交易量
<1%
26°C
$281 交易量
<1%
27°C
$61 交易量
<1%
28°C
$105 交易量
6%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
20%
31°C
$15 交易量
36%
32°C
$61 交易量
25%
33°C
$103 交易量
12%
34°C
$0 交易量
6%
35°C or higher
$44 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes for Shenzhen on August 27, 2026.** Subtropical summer conditions, characterized by high humidity and a weak steering pattern, support this range, with climatological August highs averaging 30–32°C. Recent model runs indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating and cap extremes, reducing odds of 33°C or higher. Proximity to resolution—only two days out—means updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will drive any late shifts, particularly if convective activity intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of uncertainty around the seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$988结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes for Shenzhen on August 27, 2026.** Subtropical summer conditions, characterized by high humidity and a weak steering pattern, support this range, with climatological August highs averaging 30–32°C. Recent model runs indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating and cap extremes, reducing odds of 33°C or higher. Proximity to resolution—only two days out—means updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will drive any late shifts, particularly if convective activity intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of uncertainty around the seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$988结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes for Shenzhen on August 27, 2026.** Subtropical summer conditions, characterized by high humidity and a weak steering pattern, support this range, with climatological August highs averaging 30–32°C. Recent model runs indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating and cap extremes, reducing odds of 33°C or higher. Proximity to resolution—only two days out—means updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will drive any late shifts, particularly if convective activity intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of uncertainty around the seasonal baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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