Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature range of 27–32°C for August 25 amid southwesterly winds, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms linked to nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity levels around 70–95% limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 27°C as the leading outcome while keeping 26°C and 28°C competitive. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical variability in convective timing and intensity, with the market-implied odds capturing uncertainty over whether localized downpours or clearer intervals will push the overnight low slightly higher or lower than the baseline expectation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日香港最低气温?
27°C 40%
28°C 32%
26°C 21%
29°C 7%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
32%
29°C
7%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 32%
26°C 21%
29°C 7%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
32%
29°C
7%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature range of 27–32°C for August 25 amid southwesterly winds, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms linked to nearby tropical systems. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity levels around 70–95% limit nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around 27°C as the leading outcome while keeping 26°C and 28°C competitive. Ensemble model spreads reflect typical variability in convective timing and intensity, with the market-implied odds capturing uncertainty over whether localized downpours or clearer intervals will push the overnight low slightly higher or lower than the baseline expectation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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