Recent forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s August 26 high near 35–37 °C under mostly sunny skies with low rain chances and light easterly winds, sustaining the current heatwave that prompted official high-temperature alerts. This consensus drives the market’s clustering around 36–38 °C outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer conditions in the humid subtropical climate where clear skies and high solar insolation can push peaks above seasonal averages. Model spread, variable humidity, and the small risk of afternoon convection introduce the observed uncertainty, with traders weighting official monitoring updates and any last-minute forecast revisions through the 26th resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日武汉气温最高?
37°C 33%
38°C 28%
36°C 24%
35°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
8%
36°C
24%
37°C
33%
38°C
28%
39°C
6%
40°C or higher
3%
37°C 33%
38°C 28%
36°C 24%
35°C 8%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
8%
36°C
24%
37°C
33%
38°C
28%
39°C
6%
40°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models project Wuhan’s August 26 high near 35–37 °C under mostly sunny skies with low rain chances and light easterly winds, sustaining the current heatwave that prompted official high-temperature alerts. This consensus drives the market’s clustering around 36–38 °C outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer conditions in the humid subtropical climate where clear skies and high solar insolation can push peaks above seasonal averages. Model spread, variable humidity, and the small risk of afternoon convection introduce the observed uncertainty, with traders weighting official monitoring updates and any last-minute forecast revisions through the 26th resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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