Current forecasts from agencies indicate Chongqing will likely see a peak temperature of 37–39°C on August 26 under sunny to scattered-cloud conditions, consistent with the city’s subtropical basin climate that traps heat and humidity during late-summer high-pressure dominance. Traders have priced 38°C and 39°C highest because recent model runs align with observed trends of sustained warmth following July’s first 40°C day of the season, while slight cooling from seasonal progression and possible localized convection keep probabilities for 40°C or above low. Key variables include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress afternoon heating and official measurement at the central station, with any last-minute forecast shifts likely to refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日重庆气温最高?
38°C 39%
39°C 28%
37°C 21%
36°C 7%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
21%
38°C
39%
39°C
28%
40°C
6%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 39%
39°C 28%
37°C 21%
36°C 7%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
21%
38°C
39%
39°C
28%
40°C
6%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies indicate Chongqing will likely see a peak temperature of 37–39°C on August 26 under sunny to scattered-cloud conditions, consistent with the city’s subtropical basin climate that traps heat and humidity during late-summer high-pressure dominance. Traders have priced 38°C and 39°C highest because recent model runs align with observed trends of sustained warmth following July’s first 40°C day of the season, while slight cooling from seasonal progression and possible localized convection keep probabilities for 40°C or above low. Key variables include steering patterns that could enhance or suppress afternoon heating and official measurement at the central station, with any last-minute forecast shifts likely to refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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