Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models project a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, as the subtropical high strengthens westward and reduces cloud cover after recent rain. This positioning underpins the tight market clustering at 32°C (33%) and 31°C (29%), with residual moisture and brief showers potentially capping peaks below model maxima. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, while steering patterns and humidity levels remain key variables that could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日上海气温最高?
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 31%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models project a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, as the subtropical high strengthens westward and reduces cloud cover after recent rain. This positioning underpins the tight market clustering at 32°C (33%) and 31°C (29%), with residual moisture and brief showers potentially capping peaks below model maxima. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, while steering patterns and humidity levels remain key variables that could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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