Recent forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Jeddah on August 26 likely ranging 37–39°C, aligning with the market's close odds between 38°C (33%) and 39°C or higher (39%). This positioning reflects typical late-summer Red Sea conditions, where high humidity and light westerly winds limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating drives afternoon maxima near historical August averages of 36–38°C. Scattered thunderstorm chances around 25% introduce minor uncertainty, as cloud cover or brief showers could cap peaks below model consensus. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日吉达的最高温度?
39°C或更高 39%
38°C 34%
37°C 18%
36°C 11%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
11%
37°C
18%
38°C
34%
39°C或更高
39%
39°C或更高 39%
38°C 34%
37°C 18%
36°C 11%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
11%
37°C
18%
38°C
34%
39°C或更高
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF indicate peak temperatures in Jeddah on August 26 likely ranging 37–39°C, aligning with the market's close odds between 38°C (33%) and 39°C or higher (39%). This positioning reflects typical late-summer Red Sea conditions, where high humidity and light westerly winds limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating drives afternoon maxima near historical August averages of 36–38°C. Scattered thunderstorm chances around 25% introduce minor uncertainty, as cloud cover or brief showers could cap peaks below model consensus. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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