**A high-pressure system (wyż) dominating central Europe is driving trader sentiment toward 22–24°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 26.** This setup favors mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing moderate daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–14°C. Official IMGW guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS-based outputs) converge on highs of 22–25°C for central Poland, with Warsaw positioned between cooler northern air and warmer southern flows. Recent stabilization after earlier variable weather has reduced uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23°C (46%) and 22°C (32%) outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers like 21°C or 25°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 25 continue to support this narrow range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月26日最高气温？
华沙8月26日最高气温？
23°C 48%
22°C 32%
24°C 14%
21°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
32%
23°C
48%
24°C
14%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 48%
22°C 32%
24°C 14%
21°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
17°C or below
$200 交易量
<1%
18°C
$198 交易量
<1%
19°C
$111 交易量
<1%
20°C
$282 交易量
2%
21°C
$278 交易量
6%
22°C
$271 交易量
32%
23°C
$358 交易量
48%
24°C
$942 交易量
14%
25°C
$276 交易量
3%
26°C
$237 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A high-pressure system (wyż) dominating central Europe is driving trader sentiment toward 22–24°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 26.** This setup favors mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing moderate daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–14°C. Official IMGW guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS-based outputs) converge on highs of 22–25°C for central Poland, with Warsaw positioned between cooler northern air and warmer southern flows. Recent stabilization after earlier variable weather has reduced uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23°C (46%) and 22°C (32%) outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers like 21°C or 25°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 25 continue to support this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$3,059结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A high-pressure system (wyż) dominating central Europe is driving trader sentiment toward 22–24°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 26.** This setup favors mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing moderate daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–14°C. Official IMGW guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS-based outputs) converge on highs of 22–25°C for central Poland, with Warsaw positioned between cooler northern air and warmer southern flows. Recent stabilization after earlier variable weather has reduced uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23°C (46%) and 22°C (32%) outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers like 21°C or 25°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 25 continue to support this narrow range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,059结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**A high-pressure system (wyż) dominating central Europe is driving trader sentiment toward 22–24°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Warsaw on August 26.** This setup favors mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and dry conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation, allowing moderate daytime warming from overnight lows near 11–14°C. Official IMGW guidance and multiple numerical models (including GFS-based outputs) converge on highs of 22–25°C for central Poland, with Warsaw positioned between cooler northern air and warmer southern flows. Recent stabilization after earlier variable weather has reduced uncertainty, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 23°C (46%) and 22°C (32%) outcomes while assigning lower weight to outliers like 21°C or 25°C. Updated model runs and surface observations through August 25 continue to support this narrow range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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