Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models indicates clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 25, promoting strong radiational cooling after sunset and supporting overnight lows near 10–12°C. High pressure and dew points around 10°C limit further drops, while minimal cloud cover and weak advection differentiate the narrow range of outcomes. Traders have clustered probability on these values (10°C at 29%, 11°C at 26%, 12°C at 25%) reflecting model agreement, with the spread capturing residual uncertainty from slight variations in wind and timing of peak cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日华沙最低气温？
8月25日华沙最低气温？
10°C 29%
11°C 27%
12°C 24%
9°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
6°C or below
2%
7°C
6%
8°C
9%
9°C
13%
10°C
29%
11°C
27%
12°C
24%
13°C
9%
14°C
8%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 29%
11°C 27%
12°C 24%
9°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
6°C or below
$141 交易量
2%
7°C
$268 交易量
6%
8°C
$0 交易量
9%
9°C
$0 交易量
13%
10°C
$0 交易量
29%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$0 交易量
24%
13°C
$0 交易量
9%
14°C
$10 交易量
8%
15°C
$105 交易量
1%
16°C or higher
$135 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models indicates clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 25, promoting strong radiational cooling after sunset and supporting overnight lows near 10–12°C. High pressure and dew points around 10°C limit further drops, while minimal cloud cover and weak advection differentiate the narrow range of outcomes. Traders have clustered probability on these values (10°C at 29%, 11°C at 26%, 12°C at 25%) reflecting model agreement, with the spread capturing residual uncertainty from slight variations in wind and timing of peak cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$659结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from numerical weather models indicates clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 25, promoting strong radiational cooling after sunset and supporting overnight lows near 10–12°C. High pressure and dew points around 10°C limit further drops, while minimal cloud cover and weak advection differentiate the narrow range of outcomes. Traders have clustered probability on these values (10°C at 29%, 11°C at 26%, 12°C at 25%) reflecting model agreement, with the spread capturing residual uncertainty from slight variations in wind and timing of peak cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$659结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast consensus from numerical weather models indicates clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 25, promoting strong radiational cooling after sunset and supporting overnight lows near 10–12°C. High pressure and dew points around 10°C limit further drops, while minimal cloud cover and weak advection differentiate the narrow range of outcomes. Traders have clustered probability on these values (10°C at 29%, 11°C at 26%, 12°C at 25%) reflecting model agreement, with the spread capturing residual uncertainty from slight variations in wind and timing of peak cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题