**Recent forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, indicate mostly clear to sunny conditions on August 24 under a northwest flow, supporting daytime warming after showers clear on the 23rd.** Multiple models and local outlooks (including MetService-aligned reports) project a daily maximum near 13–14°C, with some guidance reaching 14–15°C under light winds and dry air. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 15°C (58.5% implied probability), followed by 16°C (23.5%) and 14°C (16.5%). Wellington’s winter climatology shows typical August highs of 12–14°C, so the current setup represents near- or slightly above-average conditions driven by reduced cloud cover and northerly advection rather than a major warm anomaly. Key variables that could shift the exact maximum include wind strength (northwesterlies often moderate coastal temperatures) and any late adjustments in model consensus. With resolution imminent, fresh forecast updates from official agencies will be the primary catalyst for any further probability movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月24日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 60%
16°C 24%
14°C 17%
13°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
17%
15°C
60%
16°C
24%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 60%
16°C 24%
14°C 17%
13°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
9°C or below
$226 交易量
<1%
10°C
$238 交易量
<1%
11°C
$196 交易量
<1%
12°C
$263 交易量
<1%
13°C
$478 交易量
2%
14°C
$690 交易量
17%
15°C
$872 交易量
60%
16°C
$1,017 交易量
24%
17°C
$467 交易量
2%
18°C
$5 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$196 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, indicate mostly clear to sunny conditions on August 24 under a northwest flow, supporting daytime warming after showers clear on the 23rd.** Multiple models and local outlooks (including MetService-aligned reports) project a daily maximum near 13–14°C, with some guidance reaching 14–15°C under light winds and dry air.
This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 15°C (58.5% implied probability), followed by 16°C (23.5%) and 14°C (16.5%). Wellington’s winter climatology shows typical August highs of 12–14°C, so the current setup represents near- or slightly above-average conditions driven by reduced cloud cover and northerly advection rather than a major warm anomaly.
Key variables that could shift the exact maximum include wind strength (northwesterlies often moderate coastal temperatures) and any late adjustments in model consensus. With resolution imminent, fresh forecast updates from official agencies will be the primary catalyst for any further probability movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,649结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, indicate mostly clear to sunny conditions on August 24 under a northwest flow, supporting daytime warming after showers clear on the 23rd.** Multiple models and local outlooks (including MetService-aligned reports) project a daily maximum near 13–14°C, with some guidance reaching 14–15°C under light winds and dry air.
This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 15°C (58.5% implied probability), followed by 16°C (23.5%) and 14°C (16.5%). Wellington’s winter climatology shows typical August highs of 12–14°C, so the current setup represents near- or slightly above-average conditions driven by reduced cloud cover and northerly advection rather than a major warm anomaly.
Key variables that could shift the exact maximum include wind strength (northwesterlies often moderate coastal temperatures) and any late adjustments in model consensus. With resolution imminent, fresh forecast updates from official agencies will be the primary catalyst for any further probability movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,649结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Recent forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, indicate mostly clear to sunny conditions on August 24 under a northwest flow, supporting daytime warming after showers clear on the 23rd.** Multiple models and local outlooks (including MetService-aligned reports) project a daily maximum near 13–14°C, with some guidance reaching 14–15°C under light winds and dry air. This aligns with the market’s strong preference for 15°C (58.5% implied probability), followed by 16°C (23.5%) and 14°C (16.5%). Wellington’s winter climatology shows typical August highs of 12–14°C, so the current setup represents near- or slightly above-average conditions driven by reduced cloud cover and northerly advection rather than a major warm anomaly. Key variables that could shift the exact maximum include wind strength (northwesterlies often moderate coastal temperatures) and any late adjustments in model consensus. With resolution imminent, fresh forecast updates from official agencies will be the primary catalyst for any further probability movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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