Traders view the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24 as highly uncertain, with nearly identical odds on extremes above 15°C versus 5°C or below, because short-range forecast models show competing influences from an approaching cold front and variable southerly flow. Clear, calm nights would enhance radiative cooling and allow sharp drops, while increased cloud cover and mixing from stronger winds would keep readings milder. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 7–8°C, but model consensus remains split on exact timing, frontal strength, and local marine effects, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds within the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8月24日惠灵顿的最低温度？
15°C or higher 89%
5°C or below 86%
11°C 44%
12°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
5°C or below
86%
6°C
23%
7°C
23%
8°C
29%
9°C
29%
10°C
26%
11°C
44%
12°C
44%
13°C
8%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
89%
15°C or higher 89%
5°C or below 86%
11°C 44%
12°C 44%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
5°C or below
$5 交易量
86%
6°C
$0 交易量
23%
7°C
$0 交易量
23%
8°C
$0 交易量
29%
9°C
$0 交易量
29%
10°C
$0 交易量
26%
11°C
$5 交易量
44%
12°C
$5 交易量
44%
13°C
$5 交易量
8%
14°C
$5 交易量
2%
15°C or higher
$5 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24 as highly uncertain, with nearly identical odds on extremes above 15°C versus 5°C or below, because short-range forecast models show competing influences from an approaching cold front and variable southerly flow. Clear, calm nights would enhance radiative cooling and allow sharp drops, while increased cloud cover and mixing from stronger winds would keep readings milder. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 7–8°C, but model consensus remains split on exact timing, frontal strength, and local marine effects, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders view the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24 as highly uncertain, with nearly identical odds on extremes above 15°C versus 5°C or below, because short-range forecast models show competing influences from an approaching cold front and variable southerly flow. Clear, calm nights would enhance radiative cooling and allow sharp drops, while increased cloud cover and mixing from stronger winds would keep readings milder. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 7–8°C, but model consensus remains split on exact timing, frontal strength, and local marine effects, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds within the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTraders view the lowest temperature in Wellington on August 24 as highly uncertain, with nearly identical odds on extremes above 15°C versus 5°C or below, because short-range forecast models show competing influences from an approaching cold front and variable southerly flow. Clear, calm nights would enhance radiative cooling and allow sharp drops, while increased cloud cover and mixing from stronger winds would keep readings milder. August climatology places typical overnight lows near 7–8°C, but model consensus remains split on exact timing, frontal strength, and local marine effects, with new guidance expected to clarify resolution thresholds within the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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