Persistent showers and a cooler westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for showers throughout August 23 with a daytime high of 21°C, consistent with model consensus showing an incoming air mass that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 25.5°C, keeping probabilities for 22°C (26.5%) and 20°C (22.5%) as secondary outcomes while sharply discounting 23°C or warmer. Updated model runs and the official high-temperature verification at Pearson Airport will determine final resolution as the event unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日多伦多气温最高？
8月23日多伦多气温最高？
21°C 39%
22°C 26%
20°C 24%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
26%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 39%
22°C 26%
20°C 24%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C or below
$80 交易量
<1%
16°C
$80 交易量
<1%
17°C
$8 交易量
1%
18°C
$50 交易量
2%
19°C
$83 交易量
5%
20°C
$889 交易量
24%
21°C
$47 交易量
39%
22°C
$714 交易量
26%
23°C
$292 交易量
8%
24°C
$10 交易量
2%
25°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent showers and a cooler westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for showers throughout August 23 with a daytime high of 21°C, consistent with model consensus showing an incoming air mass that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 25.5°C, keeping probabilities for 22°C (26.5%) and 20°C (22.5%) as secondary outcomes while sharply discounting 23°C or warmer. Updated model runs and the official high-temperature verification at Pearson Airport will determine final resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,253结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent showers and a cooler westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for showers throughout August 23 with a daytime high of 21°C, consistent with model consensus showing an incoming air mass that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 25.5°C, keeping probabilities for 22°C (26.5%) and 20°C (22.5%) as secondary outcomes while sharply discounting 23°C or warmer. Updated model runs and the official high-temperature verification at Pearson Airport will determine final resolution as the event unfolds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,253结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETPersistent showers and a cooler westerly flow are suppressing daytime heating, positioning 21°C as the market leader at 38.5% implied probability. Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for showers throughout August 23 with a daytime high of 21°C, consistent with model consensus showing an incoming air mass that limits solar insolation and promotes evaporative cooling. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 25.5°C, keeping probabilities for 22°C (26.5%) and 20°C (22.5%) as secondary outcomes while sharply discounting 23°C or warmer. Updated model runs and the official high-temperature verification at Pearson Airport will determine final resolution as the event unfolds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题