Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate persistent high-pressure ridging over Central Texas, supporting sunny, dry conditions and daily highs near 103–106°F through August 23. This pattern aligns with the market's leading 104–105°F bin at 53% implied probability, followed by 106–107°F at 31.5%, as August climatology favors peak heat before seasonal cooling begins. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing and dew points creates the secondary 102–103°F chance at 16%, while historical Austin August extremes rarely exceed 107°F without stronger tropical moisture. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月23日奥斯汀的最高温度？
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
108-109华氏度 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
95°F或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
53%
106-107°F
32%
108-109华氏度
5%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
2%
114°F或更高
2%
104-105°F 53%
106-107°F 32%
102-103°F 16%
108-109华氏度 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
95°F或以下
$80 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$87 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$26 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$9 交易量
5%
102-103°F
$64 交易量
16%
104-105°F
$145 交易量
53%
106-107°F
$65 交易量
32%
108-109华氏度
$22 交易量
5%
110-111°F
$22 交易量
1%
112-113°F
$26 交易量
2%
114°F或更高
$18 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate persistent high-pressure ridging over Central Texas, supporting sunny, dry conditions and daily highs near 103–106°F through August 23. This pattern aligns with the market's leading 104–105°F bin at 53% implied probability, followed by 106–107°F at 31.5%, as August climatology favors peak heat before seasonal cooling begins. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing and dew points creates the secondary 102–103°F chance at 16%, while historical Austin August extremes rarely exceed 107°F without stronger tropical moisture. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$563结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate persistent high-pressure ridging over Central Texas, supporting sunny, dry conditions and daily highs near 103–106°F through August 23. This pattern aligns with the market's leading 104–105°F bin at 53% implied probability, followed by 106–107°F at 31.5%, as August climatology favors peak heat before seasonal cooling begins. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing and dew points creates the secondary 102–103°F chance at 16%, while historical Austin August extremes rarely exceed 107°F without stronger tropical moisture. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$563结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate persistent high-pressure ridging over Central Texas, supporting sunny, dry conditions and daily highs near 103–106°F through August 23. This pattern aligns with the market's leading 104–105°F bin at 53% implied probability, followed by 106–107°F at 31.5%, as August climatology favors peak heat before seasonal cooling begins. Minor model spread on afternoon mixing and dew points creates the secondary 102–103°F chance at 16%, while historical Austin August extremes rarely exceed 107°F without stronger tropical moisture. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题