Recent forecasts from European ensemble models and Météo-France place Paris overnight minimums on August 25 near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration on those bins. A post-heatwave transition has introduced increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions track late-August climatology, where average lows fall from roughly 16 °C early in the month to 14 °C by month-end, with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning about 12–18 °C. No strong cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiative event is indicated in current runs, keeping upside risk for sub-14 °C readings low and capping probabilities above 18 °C. Traders are watching the next model cycles for any shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture that could adjust the minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日巴黎最低气温？
8月25日巴黎最低气温？
16°C 39%
17°C 28%
15°C 24%
18°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
12°C或以下
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
24%
16°C
39%
17°C
28%
18°C
6%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C或更高
<1%
16°C 39%
17°C 28%
15°C 24%
18°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
12°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
13°C
$32 交易量
5%
14°C
$7 交易量
6%
15°C
$29 交易量
24%
16°C
$142 交易量
39%
17°C
$11 交易量
28%
18°C
$22 交易量
6%
19°C
$12 交易量
6%
20°C
$42 交易量
3%
21°C
$79 交易量
3%
22°C或更高
$7 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European ensemble models and Météo-France place Paris overnight minimums on August 25 near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration on those bins. A post-heatwave transition has introduced increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions track late-August climatology, where average lows fall from roughly 16 °C early in the month to 14 °C by month-end, with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning about 12–18 °C. No strong cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiative event is indicated in current runs, keeping upside risk for sub-14 °C readings low and capping probabilities above 18 °C. Traders are watching the next model cycles for any shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture that could adjust the minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$388结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European ensemble models and Météo-France place Paris overnight minimums on August 25 near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration on those bins. A post-heatwave transition has introduced increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions track late-August climatology, where average lows fall from roughly 16 °C early in the month to 14 °C by month-end, with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning about 12–18 °C. No strong cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiative event is indicated in current runs, keeping upside risk for sub-14 °C readings low and capping probabilities above 18 °C. Traders are watching the next model cycles for any shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture that could adjust the minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$388结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from European ensemble models and Météo-France place Paris overnight minimums on August 25 near 15–17 °C, aligning with the market’s concentration on those bins. A post-heatwave transition has introduced increased cloud cover, modest northerly advection, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while moderating nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions track late-August climatology, where average lows fall from roughly 16 °C early in the month to 14 °C by month-end, with the 10th–90th percentile range spanning about 12–18 °C. No strong cold-air outbreak or clear-sky radiative event is indicated in current runs, keeping upside risk for sub-14 °C readings low and capping probabilities above 18 °C. Traders are watching the next model cycles for any shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture that could adjust the minimum by 1–2 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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