Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and Météo-France ensembles, indicate a post-heatwave cooling trend with daytime maxima in Paris centered on 25–27°C for August 25 amid moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation. This pattern, following earlier peaks near 30°C, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26°C and 27°C as traders weigh small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual warmth. Historical late-August climatology shows averages near 24–25°C with occasional excursions above 27°C under clearer, calmer conditions, while ensemble spread highlights uncertainty from minor variations in sea-surface temperatures and low-level moisture. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日巴黎气温最高？
8月25日巴黎气温最高？
26°C 33%
27°C 32%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
最新
$10,269 交易量
最新
$10,269 交易量
2026-08-25
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
33%
27°C
32%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 33%
27°C 32%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
最新
$10,269 交易量
最新
$10,269 交易量
2026-08-25
22°C or below
$1,216 交易量
1%
23°C
$728 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,083 交易量
6%
25°C
$1,295 交易量
14%
26°C
$1,704 交易量
33%
27°C
$1,396 交易量
32%
28°C
$1,320 交易量
14%
29°C
$1,035 交易量
3%
30°C
$325 交易量
1%
31°C
$57 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$109 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and Météo-France ensembles, indicate a post-heatwave cooling trend with daytime maxima in Paris centered on 25–27°C for August 25 amid moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation. This pattern, following earlier peaks near 30°C, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26°C and 27°C as traders weigh small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual warmth. Historical late-August climatology shows averages near 24–25°C with occasional excursions above 27°C under clearer, calmer conditions, while ensemble spread highlights uncertainty from minor variations in sea-surface temperatures and low-level moisture. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,269结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and Météo-France ensembles, indicate a post-heatwave cooling trend with daytime maxima in Paris centered on 25–27°C for August 25 amid moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation. This pattern, following earlier peaks near 30°C, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26°C and 27°C as traders weigh small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual warmth. Historical late-August climatology shows averages near 24–25°C with occasional excursions above 27°C under clearer, calmer conditions, while ensemble spread highlights uncertainty from minor variations in sea-surface temperatures and low-level moisture. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,269结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from global and regional models, including ECMWF and Météo-France ensembles, indicate a post-heatwave cooling trend with daytime maxima in Paris centered on 25–27°C for August 25 amid moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and limited insolation. This pattern, following earlier peaks near 30°C, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26°C and 27°C as traders weigh small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual warmth. Historical late-August climatology shows averages near 24–25°C with occasional excursions above 27°C under clearer, calmer conditions, while ensemble spread highlights uncertainty from minor variations in sea-surface temperatures and low-level moisture. Updated model runs and official Météo-France guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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