Current Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 22 °C for London on 24 August, producing the tightest clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C. Easterly flow, elevated dew points near 12–14 °C, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating while suppressing strong advection of warmer air. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise extent of afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing; a few extra hours of insolation could push readings to 23 °C, whereas thicker stratiform cloud or a light shower would cap them at 21 °C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains modest but is still reflected in the spread across these three bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日伦敦气温最高？
8月24日伦敦气温最高？
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
17°C or below
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
31%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 33%
21°C 31%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
17°C or below
$30 交易量
4%
18°C
$49 交易量
4%
19°C
$50 交易量
4%
20°C
$102 交易量
13%
21°C
$87 交易量
31%
22°C
$27 交易量
33%
23°C
$0 交易量
22%
24°C
$10 交易量
5%
25°C
$15 交易量
3%
26°C
$61 交易量
2%
27°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 22 °C for London on 24 August, producing the tightest clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C. Easterly flow, elevated dew points near 12–14 °C, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating while suppressing strong advection of warmer air. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise extent of afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing; a few extra hours of insolation could push readings to 23 °C, whereas thicker stratiform cloud or a light shower would cap them at 21 °C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains modest but is still reflected in the spread across these three bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
交易量
$436结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 22 °C for London on 24 August, producing the tightest clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C. Easterly flow, elevated dew points near 12–14 °C, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating while suppressing strong advection of warmer air. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise extent of afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing; a few extra hours of insolation could push readings to 23 °C, whereas thicker stratiform cloud or a light shower would cap them at 21 °C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains modest but is still reflected in the spread across these three bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$436结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETCurrent Met Office guidance and supporting ensemble models point to a daytime maximum near 22 °C for London on 24 August, producing the tightest clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23 °C. Easterly flow, elevated dew points near 12–14 °C, and variable cloud cover are expected to limit solar heating while suppressing strong advection of warmer air. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise extent of afternoon cloud breaks and boundary-layer mixing; a few extra hours of insolation could push readings to 23 °C, whereas thicker stratiform cloud or a light shower would cap them at 21 °C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains modest but is still reflected in the spread across these three bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题