**Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to daytime highs of 30–31 °C at Incheon International Airport on August 24, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes.** Persistent late-August warmth and high humidity, following scattered showers on August 22 that offered only modest cooling, have kept apparent temperatures elevated despite Cheoseo (the traditional seasonal shift) occurring on the 23rd. Partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow are expected to allow afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C, with limited additional cooling from overnight lows around 25–26 °C. Model spreads remain modest at this short lead time, but small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any residual moisture, or wind patterns could still move the daily maximum by 1 °C, explaining the concentrated trader sentiment around 30–32 °C while lower and higher extremes carry sharply reduced implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月24日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
29%
31°C
38%
32°C
15%
33°C or higher
5%
31°C 38%
30°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
23°C or below
$273 交易量
<1%
24°C
$285 交易量
<1%
25°C
$135 交易量
<1%
26°C
$33 交易量
1%
27°C
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$31 交易量
4%
29°C
$46 交易量
11%
30°C
$56 交易量
29%
31°C
$109 交易量
38%
32°C
$37 交易量
15%
33°C or higher
$5 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to daytime highs of 30–31 °C at Incheon International Airport on August 24, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes.**
Persistent late-August warmth and high humidity, following scattered showers on August 22 that offered only modest cooling, have kept apparent temperatures elevated despite Cheoseo (the traditional seasonal shift) occurring on the 23rd. Partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow are expected to allow afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C, with limited additional cooling from overnight lows around 25–26 °C. Model spreads remain modest at this short lead time, but small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any residual moisture, or wind patterns could still move the daily maximum by 1 °C, explaining the concentrated trader sentiment around 30–32 °C while lower and higher extremes carry sharply reduced implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,015结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to daytime highs of 30–31 °C at Incheon International Airport on August 24, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes.**
Persistent late-August warmth and high humidity, following scattered showers on August 22 that offered only modest cooling, have kept apparent temperatures elevated despite Cheoseo (the traditional seasonal shift) occurring on the 23rd. Partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow are expected to allow afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C, with limited additional cooling from overnight lows around 25–26 °C. Model spreads remain modest at this short lead time, but small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any residual moisture, or wind patterns could still move the daily maximum by 1 °C, explaining the concentrated trader sentiment around 30–32 °C while lower and higher extremes carry sharply reduced implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,015结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS runs points to daytime highs of 30–31 °C at Incheon International Airport on August 24, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact outcomes.** Persistent late-August warmth and high humidity, following scattered showers on August 22 that offered only modest cooling, have kept apparent temperatures elevated despite Cheoseo (the traditional seasonal shift) occurring on the 23rd. Partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow are expected to allow afternoon peaks near 30–32 °C, with limited additional cooling from overnight lows around 25–26 °C. Model spreads remain modest at this short lead time, but small shifts in cloud cover, timing of any residual moisture, or wind patterns could still move the daily maximum by 1 °C, explaining the concentrated trader sentiment around 30–32 °C while lower and higher extremes carry sharply reduced implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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