Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and variable cloud cover that will limit nocturnal radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 24. These conditions, reinforced by a strengthening North Pacific high and residual moisture from recent showers, position overnight lows most likely between 25–26°C—aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44.5% and 34.5%. Historical late-August averages near 22–23°C provide context for the current warmth, while limited model spread and no major frontal passage reduce the probability of sharper drops. Final resolution will hinge on updated guidance and any localized clearing ahead of the daily minimum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
26°C 45%
25°C 35%
24°C 11%
27°C 10%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
35%
26°C
45%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
2%
26°C 45%
25°C 35%
24°C 11%
27°C 10%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
35%
26°C
45%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate persistent high humidity, elevated dew points near 24–25°C, and variable cloud cover that will limit nocturnal radiative cooling across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 24. These conditions, reinforced by a strengthening North Pacific high and residual moisture from recent showers, position overnight lows most likely between 25–26°C—aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 44.5% and 34.5%. Historical late-August averages near 22–23°C provide context for the current warmth, while limited model spread and no major frontal passage reduce the probability of sharper drops. Final resolution will hinge on updated guidance and any localized clearing ahead of the daily minimum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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