Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity on August 26, driven by regional monsoon moisture and southeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating and keeps maximum temperatures near 30–32°C according to multiple model runs. High humidity near 80–90% and widespread rain chances of 80–95% further moderate peaks by reducing solar insolation, consistent with typical late-August subtropical patterns where afternoon convection caps highs below seasonal averages around 33°C. Trader sentiment favoring 31°C reflects the tight clustering of guidance around this threshold, with 32°C as a close alternative if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日广州气温最高?
31°C 29%
32°C 25%
30°C 17%
29°C 13%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
13%
30°C
17%
31°C
29%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
9%
35°C或以上
4%
31°C 29%
32°C 25%
30°C 17%
29°C 13%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
13%
30°C
17%
31°C
29%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
9%
35°C或以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Guangzhou highlight persistent cloud cover and thunderstorm activity on August 26, driven by regional monsoon moisture and southeasterly flow, which limits daytime heating and keeps maximum temperatures near 30–32°C according to multiple model runs. High humidity near 80–90% and widespread rain chances of 80–95% further moderate peaks by reducing solar insolation, consistent with typical late-August subtropical patterns where afternoon convection caps highs below seasonal averages around 33°C. Trader sentiment favoring 31°C reflects the tight clustering of guidance around this threshold, with 32°C as a close alternative if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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