Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月26日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
25°C 34%
24°C 26%
26°C 14%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
13%
24°C
26%
25°C
34%
26°C
14%
27°C
7%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 34%
24°C 26%
26°C 14%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
20°C or below
$25 交易量
2%
21°C
$5 交易量
4%
22°C
$82 交易量
4%
23°C
$101 交易量
13%
24°C
$195 交易量
26%
25°C
$41 交易量
34%
26°C
$205 交易量
14%
27°C
$20 交易量
7%
28°C
$5 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$622结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$622结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like the Met Office and BBC points to a daytime high near 23–25°C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading on those outcomes amid 34% and 24% implied probabilities. Variable North Sea flow and possible light showers introduce modest uncertainty in maximum temperatures, as onshore winds can suppress peaks while clearer intervals allow brief warming. Historical August variability, with typical highs near 22°C but occasional excursions above 25°C under continental influence, underscores why traders spread bets across 23–26°C. Updated forecast runs and observational data on pressure gradients will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题