Latest forecast guidance from European models points to overnight lows of 15–16 °C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiational cooling while maintaining a mild maritime air mass, keeping minimum temperatures near the late-August climatological average of 14–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest downside risk to 14 °C if cloud cover clears earlier than anticipated. Official KNMI station readings at the close of the 24-hour period will determine final settlement, and any late-model run showing stronger northerly advection could quickly shift probability toward the lower bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
8月26日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
16°C 42%
15°C 27%
14°C 18%
12°C or below 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
12°C or below
16%
13°C
1%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
42%
17°C
10%
18°C
8%
19°C
6%
20°C
7%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
3%
16°C 42%
15°C 27%
14°C 18%
12°C or below 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
12°C or below
$145 交易量
16%
13°C
$100 交易量
1%
14°C
$9 交易量
27%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
42%
17°C
$0 交易量
10%
18°C
$30 交易量
8%
19°C
$80 交易量
6%
20°C
$135 交易量
7%
21°C
$0 交易量
1%
22°C or higher
$5 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from European models points to overnight lows of 15–16 °C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiational cooling while maintaining a mild maritime air mass, keeping minimum temperatures near the late-August climatological average of 14–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest downside risk to 14 °C if cloud cover clears earlier than anticipated. Official KNMI station readings at the close of the 24-hour period will determine final settlement, and any late-model run showing stronger northerly advection could quickly shift probability toward the lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$504结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from European models points to overnight lows of 15–16 °C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiational cooling while maintaining a mild maritime air mass, keeping minimum temperatures near the late-August climatological average of 14–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest downside risk to 14 °C if cloud cover clears earlier than anticipated. Official KNMI station readings at the close of the 24-hour period will determine final settlement, and any late-model run showing stronger northerly advection could quickly shift probability toward the lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$504结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETLatest forecast guidance from European models points to overnight lows of 15–16 °C in Amsterdam on August 26, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on those exact outcomes. Persistent high pressure and light southerly flow are expected to limit radiational cooling while maintaining a mild maritime air mass, keeping minimum temperatures near the late-August climatological average of 14–15 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only modest downside risk to 14 °C if cloud cover clears earlier than anticipated. Official KNMI station readings at the close of the 24-hour period will determine final settlement, and any late-model run showing stronger northerly advection could quickly shift probability toward the lower bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题