Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on August 26 shows near-even odds between 26°C and the 21–23°C cluster due to typical tropical overnight cooling patterns under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. High humidity near 90% and light trade winds limited radiative heat loss, keeping minima close to the August climatological baseline of 24°C, while localized convection may have produced slightly cooler pockets. Official forecasts from regional models aligned on 25–26°C lows, yet measurement differences across stations and timing of any brief clear periods introduced genuine uncertainty that balanced the market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日巴拿马城最低温度?
26°C 99.5%
23°C 19%
20°C或以下 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$1,797 交易量
$1,797 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
26°C 99.5%
23°C 19%
20°C或以下 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
$1,797 交易量
$1,797 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City, Panama, on August 26 shows near-even odds between 26°C and the 21–23°C cluster due to typical tropical overnight cooling patterns under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. High humidity near 90% and light trade winds limited radiative heat loss, keeping minima close to the August climatological baseline of 24°C, while localized convection may have produced slightly cooler pockets. Official forecasts from regional models aligned on 25–26°C lows, yet measurement differences across stations and timing of any brief clear periods introduced genuine uncertainty that balanced the market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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