Persistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure system, drives extensive cloud cover, scattered to monsoon rains, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 31, limiting solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 29–32 °C range. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models (including those underlying WeatherBug, Yr, and Met Office forecasts) show high humidity, moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and frequent precipitation reducing peak insolation, with hourly data indicating afternoon maxima rarely exceeding 30 °C amid 70–90 % rain probabilities. This pattern aligns with typical late-August climatology yet features above-average rainfall that caps extremes, producing tight market clustering around 30–31 °C as traders weigh model spread in exact timing and intensity of convective cells. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria near the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月31日马尼拉的最高温度？
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
14%
29°C
12%
30°C
28%
31°C
26%
32°C
19%
33°C
11%
34°C
16%
35°C或以上
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C或以下
$117 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
14%
29°C
$8 交易量
12%
30°C
$7 交易量
28%
31°C
$15 交易量
26%
32°C
$327 交易量
19%
33°C
$20 交易量
11%
34°C
$0 交易量
16%
35°C或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure system, drives extensive cloud cover, scattered to monsoon rains, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 31, limiting solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 29–32 °C range. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models (including those underlying WeatherBug, Yr, and Met Office forecasts) show high humidity, moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and frequent precipitation reducing peak insolation, with hourly data indicating afternoon maxima rarely exceeding 30 °C amid 70–90 % rain probabilities. This pattern aligns with typical late-August climatology yet features above-average rainfall that caps extremes, producing tight market clustering around 30–31 °C as traders weigh model spread in exact timing and intensity of convective cells. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria near the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$605结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure system, drives extensive cloud cover, scattered to monsoon rains, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 31, limiting solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 29–32 °C range. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models (including those underlying WeatherBug, Yr, and Met Office forecasts) show high humidity, moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and frequent precipitation reducing peak insolation, with hourly data indicating afternoon maxima rarely exceeding 30 °C amid 70–90 % rain probabilities. This pattern aligns with typical late-August climatology yet features above-average rainfall that caps extremes, producing tight market clustering around 30–31 °C as traders weigh model spread in exact timing and intensity of convective cells. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria near the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$605结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity, enhanced by a nearby low-pressure system, drives extensive cloud cover, scattered to monsoon rains, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 31, limiting solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures in the narrow 29–32 °C range. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple numerical models (including those underlying WeatherBug, Yr, and Met Office forecasts) show high humidity, moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds, and frequent precipitation reducing peak insolation, with hourly data indicating afternoon maxima rarely exceeding 30 °C amid 70–90 % rain probabilities. This pattern aligns with typical late-August climatology yet features above-average rainfall that caps extremes, producing tight market clustering around 30–31 °C as traders weigh model spread in exact timing and intensity of convective cells. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria near the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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