Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime high of 22–23 °C in Paris on 29 August, driven by a southwest flow of cooler Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit insolation and surface heating. This keeps temperatures slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.1 °C for the date. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities nearly equal for 22 °C and 23 °C as forecasters weigh modest model spread in timing of any clearing. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Paris–Montsouris or equivalent stations, with final model updates expected through the evening of 28 August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日巴黎最高气温？
8月29日巴黎最高气温？
22°C 35%
23°C 35%
24°C 14%
21°C 12%
最新
$12,327 交易量
最新
$12,327 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
35%
23°C
35%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
3%
22°C 35%
23°C 35%
24°C 14%
21°C 12%
最新
$12,327 交易量
最新
$12,327 交易量
2026-08-29
15°C or below
$394 交易量
<1%
16°C
$1,514 交易量
<1%
17°C
$514 交易量
<1%
18°C
$367 交易量
<1%
19°C
$240 交易量
<1%
20°C
$610 交易量
3%
21°C
$2,313 交易量
12%
22°C
$1,800 交易量
35%
23°C
$2,012 交易量
35%
24°C
$1,471 交易量
14%
25°C or higher
$1,093 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime high of 22–23 °C in Paris on 29 August, driven by a southwest flow of cooler Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit insolation and surface heating. This keeps temperatures slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.1 °C for the date. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities nearly equal for 22 °C and 23 °C as forecasters weigh modest model spread in timing of any clearing. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Paris–Montsouris or equivalent stations, with final model updates expected through the evening of 28 August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$12,327结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime high of 22–23 °C in Paris on 29 August, driven by a southwest flow of cooler Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit insolation and surface heating. This keeps temperatures slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.1 °C for the date. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities nearly equal for 22 °C and 23 °C as forecasters weigh modest model spread in timing of any clearing. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Paris–Montsouris or equivalent stations, with final model updates expected through the evening of 28 August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,327结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus from agencies including Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime high of 22–23 °C in Paris on 29 August, driven by a southwest flow of cooler Atlantic air, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit insolation and surface heating. This keeps temperatures slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 24.1 °C for the date. Trader positioning reflects this narrow range, with implied probabilities nearly equal for 22 °C and 23 °C as forecasters weigh modest model spread in timing of any clearing. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at Paris–Montsouris or equivalent stations, with final model updates expected through the evening of 28 August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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