Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs position a 16°C low as the leading outcome for Paris on August 29 by showing southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, with hourly guidance clustering between 15–17°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where the 16°C bin holds the highest probability. Recent Atlantic disturbances have replaced warmer continental air, keeping minimum temperatures above the 13.5°C climatological average while preventing deeper nocturnal drops. Key variables include final 48-hour model updates and any shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed that could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日巴黎最低气温？
8月29日巴黎最低气温？
16°C 38%
17°C 26%
15°C 19%
18°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
11°C或更低
5%
12°C
11%
13°C
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
19%
16°C
44%
17°C
26%
18°C
18%
19°C
12%
20°C
8%
21°C或更高
2%
16°C 38%
17°C 26%
15°C 19%
18°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
11°C或更低
$5 交易量
5%
12°C
$5 交易量
11%
13°C
$20 交易量
8%
14°C
$0 交易量
11%
15°C
$0 交易量
19%
16°C
$41 交易量
44%
17°C
$0 交易量
26%
18°C
$0 交易量
18%
19°C
$0 交易量
12%
20°C
$5 交易量
8%
21°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs position a 16°C low as the leading outcome for Paris on August 29 by showing southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, with hourly guidance clustering between 15–17°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where the 16°C bin holds the highest probability. Recent Atlantic disturbances have replaced warmer continental air, keeping minimum temperatures above the 13.5°C climatological average while preventing deeper nocturnal drops. Key variables include final 48-hour model updates and any shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed that could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$61结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs position a 16°C low as the leading outcome for Paris on August 29 by showing southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, with hourly guidance clustering between 15–17°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where the 16°C bin holds the highest probability. Recent Atlantic disturbances have replaced warmer continental air, keeping minimum temperatures above the 13.5°C climatological average while preventing deeper nocturnal drops. Key variables include final 48-hour model updates and any shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed that could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$61结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS model runs position a 16°C low as the leading outcome for Paris on August 29 by showing southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling overnight, with hourly guidance clustering between 15–17°C. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds, where the 16°C bin holds the highest probability. Recent Atlantic disturbances have replaced warmer continental air, keeping minimum temperatures above the 13.5°C climatological average while preventing deeper nocturnal drops. Key variables include final 48-hour model updates and any shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed that could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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