Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project a daytime high of 33°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible and northeast winds shifting to easterly at 5–6 levels before easing. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where Shanghai’s average August maximum is near 31°C amid typical subtropical moisture and weak steering patterns. Trader consensus favoring 32°C at 58.5% implied probability, ahead of 33°C at 13.5%, likely reflects model spread on exact peak timing, potential rain suppression of temperatures, or station-specific measurement variability ahead of resolution. Updated guidance issued August 26 shows minimal shifts, keeping near-term odds sensitive to any late-hour forecast revisions from monitoring agencies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日上海气温最高?
32°C 59%
31°C 26%
33°C 14%
30°C 3%
$11,895 交易量
$11,895 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
26%
32°C
59%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
31°C 26%
33°C 14%
30°C 3%
$11,895 交易量
$11,895 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
26%
32°C
59%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project a daytime high of 33°C for Shanghai on August 27, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light rain possible and northeast winds shifting to easterly at 5–6 levels before easing. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where Shanghai’s average August maximum is near 31°C amid typical subtropical moisture and weak steering patterns. Trader consensus favoring 32°C at 58.5% implied probability, ahead of 33°C at 13.5%, likely reflects model spread on exact peak timing, potential rain suppression of temperatures, or station-specific measurement variability ahead of resolution. Updated guidance issued August 26 shows minimal shifts, keeping near-term odds sensitive to any late-hour forecast revisions from monitoring agencies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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