Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms driven by an active southerly airstream and nearby tropical systems like Narra are capping daytime heating over Hong Kong on August 26. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum near 27–31°C amid high humidity and rain probability exceeding 80 percent, aligning with late-August climatological norms of roughly 31°C mean daily maximum yet tempered by reduced insolation. Model consensus and recent observations favor 30–31°C as the most probable peak, with trader-implied odds reflecting this tight range; lighter winds and any brief clearing could allow a 32°C spike, while heavier rain would suppress it further. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model runs through August 25 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日香港气温最高？
8月26日香港气温最高？
30°C 32%
31°C 30%
32°C 16%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
7%
30°C
32%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 32%
31°C 30%
32°C 16%
28°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
24°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$5 交易量
1%
26°C
$5 交易量
1%
27°C
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
9%
29°C
$140 交易量
7%
30°C
$2 交易量
32%
31°C
$0 交易量
30%
32°C
$0 交易量
16%
33°C
$2 交易量
6%
34°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms driven by an active southerly airstream and nearby tropical systems like Narra are capping daytime heating over Hong Kong on August 26. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum near 27–31°C amid high humidity and rain probability exceeding 80 percent, aligning with late-August climatological norms of roughly 31°C mean daily maximum yet tempered by reduced insolation. Model consensus and recent observations favor 30–31°C as the most probable peak, with trader-implied odds reflecting this tight range; lighter winds and any brief clearing could allow a 32°C spike, while heavier rain would suppress it further. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model runs through August 25 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$164结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms driven by an active southerly airstream and nearby tropical systems like Narra are capping daytime heating over Hong Kong on August 26. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum near 27–31°C amid high humidity and rain probability exceeding 80 percent, aligning with late-August climatological norms of roughly 31°C mean daily maximum yet tempered by reduced insolation. Model consensus and recent observations favor 30–31°C as the most probable peak, with trader-implied odds reflecting this tight range; lighter winds and any brief clearing could allow a 32°C spike, while heavier rain would suppress it further. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model runs through August 25 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$164结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, frequent showers, and thunderstorms driven by an active southerly airstream and nearby tropical systems like Narra are capping daytime heating over Hong Kong on August 26. Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum near 27–31°C amid high humidity and rain probability exceeding 80 percent, aligning with late-August climatological norms of roughly 31°C mean daily maximum yet tempered by reduced insolation. Model consensus and recent observations favor 30–31°C as the most probable peak, with trader-implied odds reflecting this tight range; lighter winds and any brief clearing could allow a 32°C spike, while heavier rain would suppress it further. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model runs through August 25 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题