Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity from regional moisture advection prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, holding the overnight low at this level amid typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology shows August minima in the mid-20s Celsius are common under similar synoptic patterns. A data revision during quality control or use of an alternate station measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value, though such adjustments are infrequent for temperature records once preliminary figures are released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日香港最低气温?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,681 交易量
$51,681 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$51,681 交易量
$51,681 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity from regional moisture advection prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, holding the overnight low at this level amid typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology shows August minima in the mid-20s Celsius are common under similar synoptic patterns. A data revision during quality control or use of an alternate station measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value, though such adjustments are infrequent for temperature records once preliminary figures are released.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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