Current forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 23°C in London on August 28 amid southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that could suppress peak heating. This setup creates tight differentiation among temperature bins, as even modest shifts in timing or intensity of Atlantic moisture and diurnal solar gain can swing the daily high by 1–2°C. Late-summer variability, with typical highs near 22°C, further amplifies uncertainty ahead of final model runs and the official Met Office observation used for settlement. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical precedent when assessing each outcome's implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日伦敦气温最高?
23°C 31%
22°C 28%
24°C 19%
25°C or higher 14%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
28%
23°C
32%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
14%
23°C 31%
22°C 28%
24°C 19%
25°C or higher 14%
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
28%
23°C
32%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of around 23°C in London on August 28 amid southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that could suppress peak heating. This setup creates tight differentiation among temperature bins, as even modest shifts in timing or intensity of Atlantic moisture and diurnal solar gain can swing the daily high by 1–2°C. Late-summer variability, with typical highs near 22°C, further amplifies uncertainty ahead of final model runs and the official Met Office observation used for settlement. Traders weigh these atmospheric factors against historical precedent when assessing each outcome's implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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