Persistent high pressure over the Southwest is sustaining a regional heat wave, yet a strengthening marine layer and afternoon sea breeze are moderating temperatures at coastal Los Angeles stations such as LAX. National Weather Service point forecasts for August 26 show highs near 84–87°F at the airport versus 100–101°F downtown, creating the narrow band of trader-implied probabilities around 84–87°F. Model consensus favors limited inland warming penetration to the coast due to southwest winds of 8–12 mph, though any delay in marine-layer arrival or reduced cloud cover could push readings into the upper 80s. The next NWS forecast updates and afternoon observations will clarify resolution within the tightly contested 82–87°F range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日洛杉矶气温最高?
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
80-81°F 6%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
<1%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
80-81°F 6%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure over the Southwest is sustaining a regional heat wave, yet a strengthening marine layer and afternoon sea breeze are moderating temperatures at coastal Los Angeles stations such as LAX. National Weather Service point forecasts for August 26 show highs near 84–87°F at the airport versus 100–101°F downtown, creating the narrow band of trader-implied probabilities around 84–87°F. Model consensus favors limited inland warming penetration to the coast due to southwest winds of 8–12 mph, though any delay in marine-layer arrival or reduced cloud cover could push readings into the upper 80s. The next NWS forecast updates and afternoon observations will clarify resolution within the tightly contested 82–87°F range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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