Official PAGASA measurements recorded a daytime maximum of 32.7°C at noon on August 27 under the southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting further heating. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppressed peak temperatures near the seasonal average for late August in Metro Manila, aligning trader consensus with the 32°C threshold as the day’s high. Model guidance and regional analyses showed little potential for late-day intensification once the maximum had already been observed. A post-event data revision from the primary monitoring station or use of an alternate site recording a meaningfully different value remains the only plausible scenario that could shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日马尼拉的最高温度?
32°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,005 交易量
$30,005 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
32°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$30,005 交易量
$30,005 交易量
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
是
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official PAGASA measurements recorded a daytime maximum of 32.7°C at noon on August 27 under the southwest monsoon, with partly cloudy to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting further heating. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall suppressed peak temperatures near the seasonal average for late August in Metro Manila, aligning trader consensus with the 32°C threshold as the day’s high. Model guidance and regional analyses showed little potential for late-day intensification once the maximum had already been observed. A post-event data revision from the primary monitoring station or use of an alternate site recording a meaningfully different value remains the only plausible scenario that could shift the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题