Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in Chongqing driven by cold air advection combined with widespread heavy rainfall beginning August 28–29, which is expected to limit daytime heating on the 30th. Official Chinese meteorological guidance points to maximum temperatures of 27–31 °C in western and central districts, with some ensemble members showing 26 °C or lower under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Historical August normals near 31–34 °C provide context for the magnitude of this anomaly. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of the frontal passage, total rainfall accumulation that enhances evaporative cooling, and any local urban heat-island effects. Market-implied odds reflect this forecast spread, with substantial probability mass between 26–28 °C amid ongoing model uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日重庆气温最高?
26°C or below 26%
28°C 19%
27°C 17%
29°C 16%
26°C or below
26%
27°C
17%
28°C
19%
29°C
16%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 26%
28°C 19%
27°C 17%
29°C 16%
26°C or below
26%
27°C
17%
28°C
19%
29°C
16%
30°C
11%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in Chongqing driven by cold air advection combined with widespread heavy rainfall beginning August 28–29, which is expected to limit daytime heating on the 30th. Official Chinese meteorological guidance points to maximum temperatures of 27–31 °C in western and central districts, with some ensemble members showing 26 °C or lower under persistent cloud cover and precipitation. Historical August normals near 31–34 °C provide context for the magnitude of this anomaly. Key variables include the precise timing and intensity of the frontal passage, total rainfall accumulation that enhances evaporative cooling, and any local urban heat-island effects. Market-implied odds reflect this forecast spread, with substantial probability mass between 26–28 °C amid ongoing model uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题