Current forecast models from regional meteorological sources project a highest temperature in Shanghai on August 28 near 31–33°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, with light easterly winds and scattered showers expected to moderate peak heating. Late-August climatology features typical highs around 32°C amid high humidity and residual East Asian monsoon influence, where cloud cover and sea-breeze advection can suppress daytime maxima by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Model spreads arise from timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty across the 30–34°C range that aligns with the even market-implied odds. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日上海气温最高?
25°C or below 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
25°C or below
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C or higher
100%
25°C or below 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
25°C or below
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from regional meteorological sources project a highest temperature in Shanghai on August 28 near 31–33°C under partly cloudy to rainy conditions, with light easterly winds and scattered showers expected to moderate peak heating. Late-August climatology features typical highs around 32°C amid high humidity and residual East Asian monsoon influence, where cloud cover and sea-breeze advection can suppress daytime maxima by 1–3°C compared to clear-sky scenarios. Model spreads arise from timing of precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty across the 30–34°C range that aligns with the even market-implied odds. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题