Recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS equivalents indicates a daytime maximum of 25–27°C in Munich on August 26, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial morning cloud cover with light showers, and afternoon clearing that limits peak solar insolation. This positions 26°C and 27°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of boundary-layer mixing and radiative heating under partly cloudy conditions. Light easterly winds overnight and stable high pressure reduce advection of warmer southerly air, while historical late-August averages near 23–24°C provide context for the modest anomaly. Final resolution hinges on official observations, with any shift in cloud timing or wind patterns capable of tipping the peak by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日慕尼黑的最高温度?
26°C 39%
27°C 32%
25°C 18%
28°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
39%
27°C
32%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 39%
27°C 32%
25°C 18%
28°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
39%
27°C
32%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS equivalents indicates a daytime maximum of 25–27°C in Munich on August 26, driven by moderate westerly flow, partial morning cloud cover with light showers, and afternoon clearing that limits peak solar insolation. This positions 26°C and 27°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of boundary-layer mixing and radiative heating under partly cloudy conditions. Light easterly winds overnight and stable high pressure reduce advection of warmer southerly air, while historical late-August averages near 23–24°C provide context for the modest anomaly. Final resolution hinges on official observations, with any shift in cloud timing or wind patterns capable of tipping the peak by 1°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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