Forecast model spreads for Munich's overnight minimum on August 26 center near 13–16°C under light winds and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling, aligning with the historical average low of 13°C and recent August readings of 10–15°C. Ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from prior showers create realistic paths to sub-10°C or above-17°C outcomes, sustaining tight market odds around 12–13°C while assigning meaningful probability to extremes. Updated runs from major centers and the official Munich Airport station minimum will clarify resolution criteria ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日慕尼黑最低气温?
8°C or below 51%
12°C 34%
13°C 30%
18°C or higher 25.1%
8°C or below
51%
9°C
5%
10°C
10%
11°C
24%
12°C
34%
13°C
30%
14°C
24%
15°C
23%
16°C
7%
17°C
13%
18°C or higher
25%
8°C or below 51%
12°C 34%
13°C 30%
18°C or higher 25.1%
8°C or below
51%
9°C
5%
10°C
10%
11°C
24%
12°C
34%
13°C
30%
14°C
24%
15°C
23%
16°C
7%
17°C
13%
18°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast model spreads for Munich's overnight minimum on August 26 center near 13–16°C under light winds and variable cloud cover that modulates radiative cooling, aligning with the historical average low of 13°C and recent August readings of 10–15°C. Ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from prior showers create realistic paths to sub-10°C or above-17°C outcomes, sustaining tight market odds around 12–13°C while assigning meaningful probability to extremes. Updated runs from major centers and the official Munich Airport station minimum will clarify resolution criteria ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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